International Research and data firm, Fitch Solutions, has predicted a win for John Mahama and the National Democratic Congress (NDC) in the 2024 general elections.
The London-based firm which has been consistent with its forecast since last year argues that 54% of respondents surveyed tipped the former president as the winner in the upcoming presidential election.
Fitch Solutions in its mid-year review for Sub-Saharan Africa explained that the current state of the economy will play a significant role in the choice of voters on December 7.
“We believe the opposition National Democratic Congress (NDC) has a stronger chance of winning the upcoming general elections compared to the ruling New Patriotic Party (NPP)”, An Associate Director, of Country Risk at Fitch Solutions, Mike Kruiniger said.
“Recent polls consistently place the NDC ahead with the most recent survey showing 54% of respondents favouring the NDC,” he stated.
He continued by saying that voters’ decisions about whom to support will be heavily influenced by issues like job creation and economic management, among others.
This, according to him will put the NPP at a disadvantage given the current economic hardship.
“In addition, multiple surveys have shown that economic management and job creation are going to be the most important issues during the election for voters which we believe will put the ruling NPP at a disadvantage given the economic challenges that the country has faced over the last couple of years.”
However, Mr. Kruiniger explained that the policy direction of the country will not change under the NDC government adding that the Mahama-led administration is also likely to continue with the International Monetary Fund programme initiated by the Akufo-Addo-Bawumia government.