The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) has tipped the opposition National Democratic Congress (NDC) as the party with a higher probability to secure victory in the next general elections.
In the EIU’s five-year forecast for Ghana released on April 13, 2022, the organisation highlighted one condition based on which this prospect can be even more resounding.
According to the London-based analysts, their assessment shows that the opposition party can revitalise this prospect of victory with a fresh presidential candidate.
“John Mahama, is reportedly considering running again, NDC to try to revitalise its prospects with a fresh candidate.”
This will mean a new candidate other than John Dramani Mahama, who has led the party since 2012.
According to the London-based analysts, their assessment shows that the opposition party will have to part ways with its leader, 2020 flagbearer John Dramani Mahama.
The former President has led the NDC into two unsuccessful election campaigns in 2016 and 2020
In the wake of numerous challenges plaguing the government including unemployment, an economic downturn, and corruption among others, EIU believes these developments will fuel citizens’ sentiments against the ruling NPP administration.
“Our baseline forecast is that ongoing public dissatisfaction with the slow pace of improvements in governance—such as infrastructure development, job creation and easing of corruption—will trigger anti-incumbency factors and push the electorate to seek a change.”