Chief Executive Officer of Ghana Chambers of Bulk Oil Distributors, Senyo Hosi, has predicted that prices of fuel will hit GH¢11.00 per litre on March 16, 2022.
He blamed the situation on the volatility on the market as well as the rising cost of crude on the international market.
“This is not really with crude but with products on a metric tonne basis. You’re actually breaking the pair and likely breaking 11 as well, subject to which product and how the OMCs want to add some margins on their current prices.” He said
According to him, the cedi which is depreciating among other major trading currencies is also a factor for the rise in the price of the commodities.
“What you see from the OMCs publication is quite reflective of what the market situation is and I think a bit chunk of it has to do with some of the onset increase around our current cedi issues,” he said.
In an interview on Joy FM’s News Night, Monday, Senyo Hosi however noted that “the Central Bank has very proactive and cooperative with industry and we’ve been working on ways to help mitigate the impact on these key commodities.”
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has seen oil prices rise to their highest level in more than a decade and is on the verge of hitting new record, with crude prices predicted to reach as high as 185 dollars a barrel.
In its projections for the March 2022 Second Pricing Window, which will take effect from March 16, 2022, to March 31, 2022, the Institute for Energy Security (IES) said the price of Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) will go up by 3 per cent whereas petrol and diesel would go up by 5 per cent and 9 per cent respectively.
Meanwhile, the National Petroleum Authority (NPA) says the Oil Marketing Companies are not adjusting their pump prices beyond the indicative prices provided to the authority.
Communications Manager for the NPA, Mohammed Abdul-Kudus explained that “the review might be irregular but it is not illegal.”
“The OMCs and the fact they are buying it through the BDCs are minded by the consequences of the future and so you see the marginal review.”
Currently, petrol and diesel are selling at an average of GH¢8.6 per litre at the pumps.
Before March 1, 2022, petrol and diesel traded at an average GH¢7.50 per litre, representing an increment of 8.6 per cent in the just-ended pricing window.
In the March, 2022 First Pricing Window, the IES found that the Cedi depreciated by 4.82 per cent to close at GH¢7.17 to the Dollar from the earlier window’s rate of GH¢6.85 to $1.
With respect to the cost of fuel on the international market, the Institute found that the price of the international benchmark Brent Crude rose to 14-year highs within the period under assessment, reaching an average of $112.87 per barrel and representing an increase of 19.95 per cent over the previous window’s average price of $94.10 per barrel.
In a statement by Chamber of Petroleum Consumers Ghana (COPEC) , it said the Free On Board prices of petrol increased by 19.28% from $917.48/MT to 1094.33/MT, diesel by 34.57% from $845.50/MT to $1137.78/MT and LPG by 17.42% from $845.93/MT to $993.25/MT between the first pricing window (1st-15th March 2022) and the second window (16th-31st March 2022).
“The petroleum price indicators as published by the NPA shows that the price of Gasoil (diesel) will increase by 30.41% from GH¢8.22 per litre in this current window to Gh¢10.721 per litre beginning 16th March 2022 and ex-pump prices of Gasoline (petrol) will increase by 18.25% from GH¢8.22 per litre to GH¢727 per litre within the same period.”
